The Congressional Republican Leadership has made the decision to kill immigration reform, and it’s a misguided mercy killing. The bill was draining the Party politically, as the Right Wing demanded nothing short of a Wall and the criminalization of conversation with illegal immigrations, while the Senate, Democrats and George Bush wanted nothing but and tenderness for migrants. Republicans have made the calculation that this sort of in-fighting and constant jockeying for position was detrimental to their chances in 2006, and so they have killed the bill. It’s a flawed calculation on their part, however, as nothing is more likely to depress Republican turnout this year than having no immigration bill. The Grand Old Party wanted a Grand Old Reform (something dating back to 1960s Berlin, or 1880s America) and didn’t get it. And so the Grand Old Party won’t be getting the votes they’re used to getting.
Let me state, momentarily, that I love Korea — both Koreas. Their history is fascinating, and I think their situation to be the most complex, worst problem in the world today. A people split by foreign powers who took different paths but ultimately need to be reunited. When the day comes that I travel the world, I want to go to Eastern Europe (Ukraine, Russia, Turkey) and then the Orient, particularly the Koreas. Now that my love for the East is stated, let me say that I’ve been following the Korean crisis for years, and that North Korea’s recent threats to launch a missile test don’t quite bother me.
To be sure, it’s creepy. Kim Jung Il is the world’s biggest creep this side of John Bolton, and so it’s natural to expect this sort of behavior from him. Unless we intend to give him a lot of diplomatic assurances, money and food — or if we take the hardest road and invade — there’s little leverage that we have. Kim Jung Il is unlikely to be anything more than the Madonna of international politics — an attention whore, and not much else. If he does test his missile, I’m tempted to discount its significance. We’ve known that he can build missiles and shoot them into the Sea of Japan since 1998. What, exactly, changes? Just because he kisses Britney Spears twice doesn’t mean he’s not the same old attention whore from the late 1990s.
Ultimately, the situation in Korea is one that will have to be resolved by politicians being statesmen. Provided that, if (and likely when) the Koreans test a missile again, the proper response is verbal condemnation, and that’s about it. There’s no reason for Japan to begin re-arming, no cause for American threats, no need to worry in Seoul. Kim Jung Il is creepy, not crazy. As long as the West and its Eastern Allies keep a cool head when the missile launches, everything should work out. There’s no reason to go on a warpath unless Jung assaults Korea or Japan. A test meant to show the world that he’s not a joke is something to ignore, not a reason to get your war on. Stay calm and the storm will pass.