Office of the Independent Blogger

The Colombians, the Venezuelans and the Ecuadorians are marching toward war after Colombia raided Ecuador to kill a Colombian rebel leader. Diplomatic relations broke off, leaders issued fierce denunciations (and rejections) of their counterparts, including Colombia’s assertion that Venezuela gave three hundred million dollars to a terrorist group. Needless to say, the situation is contentious and there’s a chance for war, but I’m not sure that they will launch any significant invasion of each other even if forces are bunched at the borders. Tomorrow the conference of the Americas is meeting and things should cool down but there is the possibility that one of Ecuador or Venezuela invade Colombia. I doubt it, though, because the Venezuelan government is too weak to launch such a conflict and might find itself in domestic trouble if they lose the War, which I suspect they would. Maybe we’ll give them an astrologer to fight Chavez like the British used one to fight Hitler? I don’t think this will devolve into armed, sustained conflict but we’ll have to wait and see.

This entry was posted on Monday, March 3rd, 2008 at 9:59 pm and is filed under Outside Retort (Current Affairs).