Saturday Ruckus
January 19th, 2008It isn’t something I’m happy to present but as I’ve said, Barack Obama is and will face white resistance in the south and rust-belt states during a general election race against Republicans but it is not limited to Republicans. It is showing more and more as we head into the campaign. I believe that a woman, like Hillary, would face much resistance based on gender as well but nowhere near as much as Obama would because she is a white she. We will have to wait and see what happens, but before I sign off I’d like to comment on the Nevada primary and the South Carolina primary, left to right.
Clinton won one more delegate than Obama in Nevada, and this race is tight, even with victories because of delegates and because nothing has been decided and both candidates have been winning the states they should win — in other words, what is predictable has been occurring. In the coming weeks, they should start to separate and I imagine Hillary leading the way, but let’s say they head into the convention deadlocked and for the first time in forever, the convention is not a given. What happens then? Some say, Edwards becomes Kingmaker. Let’s say that’s true — then that would be terrible for the Democratic Party, to have that loser on the ticket again.
As for the Republican campaign in South Carolina (it was clear that Romney would win Nevada, so let’s not bother with that) — I predicted that Huckabee would win based on the strength of Christian organizations at the grassroots but I wasn’t surprised terribly when McCain won. He’s got the momentum, he appears the best chance to defeat the Democrats and he’s likely a better choice than the inexperienced and one-dimensional Mike Huckabee who would, as I’ve said for a long time, make the perfect Vice Presidential candidate for Republicans. There’s the wrinkle, however: McCain/Huckabee appears to me undefeatable unless either of them has a dead hooker in his closet. But McCain hates Christian fundamentalists, and is disinclined to take one on as his insurance and electoral attack dog.
No one ever said this election wouldn’t be exciting. Even Bill Clinton’s getting into the fray, arguing with young men who the younger him would’ve been a part of years and years ago.