Chess Matches
Wednesday, January 31st, 2007Al Franken is running for the Senate in Minnesota. He is running because the incumbent Republican disrespected Franken’s friend, Paul Wellstone, after he died during the finals days of the 2002 Congressional election, and he wishes to get revenge by defeating him. I’m not sure how I feel about this. By all means, I support a true politician over Franken if the true politician is someone with knowledge of politics and plenty of support, but I don’t quite see the harm in allowing Franken to run. He’s just not my first choice. I worry that he doesn’t have the seriousness to begin and maintain a winning campaign, and I fear that he’ll be goaded into silly statements.
We’ll see, but I expect a Democrat, any Democrat, to beat Coleman in 2008.
Two bits of interesting news are coming from Iraq. First, this,
Radical Shiite cleric Moqtada Sadr has ordered his militia not to confront U.S. forces and has endorsed negotiations aimed at easing the deployment of American troops in his strongholds, according to Sadrist and other Shiite officials. Ahead of a planned surge of 21,500 U.S. troops intended to secure Baghdad, Sadr has instructed his al-Mahdi Army, recently described by the Pentagon as the biggest single threat to a stable Iraq, to keep a low profile and stay off the streets, Sadr officials say.
and then there’s this.
Iraq’s prime minister said Wednesday he’s sure Iran is behind some attacks on U.S. forces in Iraq and he won’t allow his country to be a battleground for the two nations. “We have told the Iranians and the Americans, ‘We know that you have a problem with each other, but we are asking you, please solve your problems outside Iraq,’ ” Nuri al-Maliki told CNN. “We will not accept Iran to use Iraq to attack the American forces,” al-Maliki said Wednesday in an exclusive interview with CNN. (Read more of al-Maliki interview) “We don’t want the American forces to take Iraq as a field to attack Iran or Syria,” he added. Asked about the role of Iran in Iraq, al-Maliki said he was confident that Iranian influence was behind attacks on U.S. forces. “It exists, and I assure you it exists,” he said.
Iranian-U.S. tensions have been ratcheted up recently, with two U.S. officials theorizing about the possibility that Iran was involved in a January 20 attack that killed five U.S. soldiers. Two officials from separate U.S. government agencies said Tuesday the Pentagon is investigating whether the attack on a military compound in Karbala was carried out by Iranians or Iranian-trained operatives. “People are looking at it seriously,” one of the officials said, adding that the Iranian connection was a leading theory in the investigation. The second official said: “We believe it’s possible the executors of the attack were Iranian or Iranian-trained.” The five soldiers were abducted and killed in the sophisticated attack by men wearing American-style uniforms, according to U.S. military reports. (Watch how attackers got into the compound ) Both officials stressed the Iranian-involvement theory is only a preliminary view, and there is no conclusion. They agreed this possibility is under consideration because of the sophistication of the attack and the level of coordination. “This was beyond what we have seen militias or foreign fighters do,” the second official said.
It’s very interesting to see the Iraqi government tell Iran and America to stay out and fight someplace else. I’m not sure I believe it, though. It must be quite the balancing act for Maliki. To have to placate the Iranians, who are dangerous because they’re dangerous and next-door, and to placate the Americans because they’re dangerous and they’re the Americans. Honestly, I suspect that the Iraqis are helping both sides to cover themselves against either one. Now, in regard to the first story: al-Sadr is a whip for the Iranians. I wonder why he’s ordering the standdown, for real. Whether it’s because of the incoming American troops or because of Iranian orders to stand down? Both?
In 1996, the American government went after Iranians through covert action after the Khobar Towers bombing and the Iranians backed off. Iran isn’t entirely stupid: America is nearing war, internally, and Iran knows this and so is cooling itself off before it gets lit ablaze. The question is, How long will they settle down for? and if they don’t, What do we do? See, the Iranians want to avoid war, now, because they don’t have nuclear weapons yet. Let’s say they don’t give us explicit reason for war: what then? Do we idly watch them build nuclear weapons and then start a war? Threaten to “contain them” and then blast their nation into the sand after they nuke Israel?
The Middle East hasn’t been this dangerous since 1945.